Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Burning 18.3 billion of your money

I hope they are lying. I hope the government does not really intend to put 18 billion more into Anglo-Irish Bank. I hope they are just pretending that they are going to give Anglo all this money in order to boost “international confidence” - but that really they intend to wind it down. That’s our only hope now. That the government is lying.

According to Lenihan "Winding-up the bank is not and was never a viable option" because an immediate wind-up would lead to a fire sale of assets resulting in additional losses of €30bn. Yes, but those losses would NOT fall on the Irish taxpayer, if the winding up takes place AFTER the government bank guarantee lapses at the end of this year. And unless the government is insane, they will allow this guarantee to lapse. The foreign banks to whom Anglo-Irish Bank owes money would then need to make the best of it once the bank is closed down.

So really the government must be lying. Because if they are NOT lying, you know what this means? You want to know why the government would be doing this? It’s hard to believe the reason. I have difficulty believing it myself. It is incredible. But here is the reason: if Anglo-Irish Bank is closed, the foreign creditors will seize all the worthless property and land and sell it at knock down prices. That would mean that houses and apartments and land would become affordable to ordinary Irish people, which would be great for the people who live here, and a great boost to our economy’s competitiveness. But it would be a disaster for Fianna Fail and their property developer chums, as well as for the other banks.

Think about that all you young people out there, as your pay is being cut, or you are losing your job, or as you struggle to pay your mortgage, and are told that there is “no money” for any of these things. The state is taking 18 billion of YOUR money and pouring it down a hole. That is eighteen thousand million euro. You could build about 50 major hospitals for that, assuming each hospital cost 300 million euro. We have become so accustomed to hearing these large figures being thrown around that we no longer know what they mean – how many schools will be underfunded, how many hospitals will be understaffed, how many people’s incomes will be reduced, in order to pay for it.

4 comments:

  1. outrageous that this has happened and that the government hasn't been run out of town a long time ago.

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  2. Brian,

    2 quick questions, I am still a bit confused as to how many zeros there are in a billion so I cannot work this out for myself:

    i) How many Bertie Bowls would you get for that?
    ii) How much is that per person in the country?

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  3. You could give every unemployed person in Ireland 40 thousand euro each, for the 18 billion. But the 18 billion is borrowed money as well, so the interest on that borrowing needs to be paid.

    Estimated costs of the Bertie Bowl balooned to 1.1 billion, causing the project to be abandoned, because it was regarded as too expensive. You could build over 16 Bertie Bowls with the money being being poured into Anglo.

    For this money, you could have a gleaming, fully-functioning Bertie Bowl in each of the following counties:

    Longford
    Leitrim
    Laois
    Louth
    Westmeath
    Carlow
    Offaly
    Sligo
    Mayo
    Donegal
    Kerry
    Limerick
    Monaghan
    Waterford
    Kilkenny
    Wexford

    (Apologies to the ten counties left out, but this country can’t afford EVERYTHING)

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  4. How many black jacks could i buy for 18.3 billion euro?

    ReplyDelete